Interpretation of the Influences about the Beijing Real Estate Market and a Simple Analysis of Price by Applying the Penal Data Model
(2008.04.15)
CONTENT
ABSTRACT 1
1. INTRODUCTION 2
2. BACKGROUND 3
3. METHODOLOGY 5
3.1 Focus Group 5
3.2 Quantitative Analysis 5
3.2.1. Panel Data Model 5
3.2.2. Correlation 6
3.2.3. Regression 6
4. POSSIBLE RELATED EFFECTS 7
4.1. Economics 7
4.1.1. Development of Economic From the National View 7
4.1.1.1. Speed of Domestic Economic Growth 7
4.1.1.2. GDP 7
4.1.2. Income Level 8
4.1.3. Price Index 8
4.1.4. Fiscal Policy 9
4.1.4.1. Deposit and Lending Rates 9
4.1.4.2. Inflation Index 9
4.1.4.3. Tax Rate 9
4.2. Administration 12
4.2.1. The Open Bidding System 12
4.2.2. Taxes 12
4.2.3. Land supply and price policy 12
4.3. Social-Culture 14
4.3.1. Population 14
4.3.1.1. Density 15
4.3.1.2. Nature Growth Rate 16
4.3.1.3. Quality 16
4.3.1.4. Structure of Family 17
4.3.2. Social Security 18
5. PERSPECTIVES ON MAJOR INFLUENCES 19
5.1. Intention of Appling Focus Group 19
5.2. The Participants 20
5.2.1. Each Introduction 20
5.3. Abbreviated Important Questions and Answers 22
5.4. Interpretation and Concluding Major Effects 26
6. QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS 29
6.1. Applied Data in the Model 29
6.2. The Quantitative analysis of the Demand Factors 31
6.3. The Quantitative analysis of the Supply Factors 34
6.4. Limitations 37
6.4.1. The bottleneck caused by lacks of individual data 37
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