Objective:
My goal is to observe, analyse, and understand the patterns that tourism in our country goes through in terms of number of tourists. I am choosing foreign tourism, i.e. the number of foreign tourists visiting India yearly. After I gather raw data, I'll analyse it by taking averages, totals, various comparisons such as monthly, annual, and seasonal, and finally rounding it up with a tentative amateur prediction. I would also like to apply my mathematical skills to understand the pattern, defining the kind of graph or equation the patterns are based on (i.e. parabolic (quadratic equation based), curved (exponential equation based), linear equation based)
Observations of Raw Data:
The raw data I collected was from two different internet sources, one being slightly older. I found data for 2002 there, but 2004 data was provisional, and 2005 was incomplete. I found these on a different website, though 2005 data is still provisional.
Looking at the basic flow of my graph, tourism in India has been steadily increasing, almost having touched the 4 million point. On an average every year the rate of tourists has been increasing by various rates though the highest difference till now was 2003-2004, when the tourist number increased by 26.8%, which is high compared to 2002-2003's 14.3%, and last year's 13.2%.
The monthly analysis was pretty much as expected, as the tourist numbers take a dip in summer, though strangely they rush up in July. The highest are of course in winters. Monthly tourists also increase rapidly, as the average of year 2005, is almost double to that of 2002. The basic pattern of tourists monthly is pretty much the same. I made my graph of raw data (Chart 3.) a chart of every year's monthly tou ...